Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Samator Indo Gas Tbk (AGII.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,576.39 - $5,393.51$5,053.70
Multi-Stage$5,157.31 - $5,669.76$5,408.67
Blended Fair Value$5,231.18
Current Price$805.00
Upside549.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.92%0.00%12.036.1710.603.130.003.250.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--95.07%-41.81%239.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.01%0.36%0.52%0.19%0.00%0.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)84,583.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32,041.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)52,542.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16,916.6010,572.886,343.73
Cash Retained (M)52,542.0052,542.0052,542.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-16,916.60-10,572.88-6,343.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)35,625.4041,969.1346,198.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,066.663,066.663,066.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.6213.6915.06
LTM Dividend per Share10.4510.4510.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.6213.6915.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend22.0724.1325.51
WACC / Discount Rate-8.85%-8.85%-8.85%
Growth Rate3.70%4.70%5.70%
Fair Value$4,576.39$5,053.70$5,393.51
Upside / Downside468.50%527.79%570.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)84,583.0088,559.8392,723.6597,083.23101,647.79106,426.96109,619.76
Payout Ratio37.88%48.30%58.73%69.15%79.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32,041.0042,778.7554,455.3767,135.4480,887.4795,784.26101,398.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-8.85%-8.85%-8.85%
Growth Rate3.70%4.70%5.70%
Year 1 PV (M)46,484.2146,932.4647,380.71
Year 2 PV (M)64,297.7265,543.7666,801.74
Year 3 PV (M)86,135.8888,651.8291,216.29
Year 4 PV (M)112,769.33117,182.41121,723.76
Year 5 PV (M)145,104.64152,237.13159,647.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,360,937.9416,115,991.2216,900,448.02
Equity Value (M)15,815,729.7216,586,538.7917,387,217.90
Shares Outstanding (M)3,066.663,066.663,066.66
Fair Value$5,157.31$5,408.67$5,669.76
Upside / Downside540.66%571.88%604.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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