Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ladun Investment Company (9535.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.96 - $47.43$44.45
Multi-Stage$7.67 - $8.40$8.03
Blended Fair Value$26.24
Current Price$3.60
Upside628.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS10.47%0.00%0.040.070.030.040.000.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---42.86%133.34%-18.51%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.11%1.17%2.08%2.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)119.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)79.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.8514.918.94
Cash Retained (M)79.2479.2479.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.85-14.91-8.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.3964.3470.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)500.00500.00500.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.210.22
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$28.96$44.45$47.43
Upside / Downside704.38%1,134.65%1,217.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)119.24126.99135.25144.04153.40163.37168.27
Payout Ratio33.54%44.84%56.13%67.42%78.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.0056.9475.9197.11120.74147.03155.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)53.1153.6254.12
Year 2 PV (M)66.0567.3168.58
Year 3 PV (M)78.8281.0883.39
Year 4 PV (M)91.4294.9498.55
Year 5 PV (M)103.85108.87114.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,440.843,607.033,779.59
Equity Value (M)3,834.104,012.854,198.31
Shares Outstanding (M)500.00500.00500.00
Fair Value$7.67$8.03$8.40
Upside / Downside113.01%122.94%133.24%

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