Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Shareate Tools Ltd. (688257.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.31 - $213.19$100.20
Multi-Stage$24.04 - $26.29$25.14
Blended Fair Value$62.67
Current Price$19.85
Upside215.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.74%19.32%0.360.280.260.030.100.130.120.040.010.01
YoY Growth--30.51%7.78%766.29%-69.01%-26.23%9.90%179.68%334.24%-26.61%-78.57%
Dividend Yield--2.39%2.37%1.84%0.21%0.49%0.66%0.60%0.22%0.05%0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)211.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)67.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)144.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42.2626.4115.85
Cash Retained (M)144.21144.21144.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-42.26-26.41-15.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)101.94117.79128.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)197.12197.12197.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.520.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.520.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.860.940.99
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45.31$100.20$213.19
Upside / Downside128.24%404.76%973.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)211.31225.05239.67255.25271.84289.51298.20
Payout Ratio31.76%43.41%55.05%66.70%78.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)67.1097.68131.95170.26212.99260.56275.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)90.0290.8791.72
Year 2 PV (M)112.05114.19116.34
Year 3 PV (M)133.24137.06140.96
Year 4 PV (M)153.60159.51165.58
Year 5 PV (M)173.16181.52190.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,076.224,273.114,477.53
Equity Value (M)4,738.294,956.265,182.34
Shares Outstanding (M)197.12197.12197.12
Fair Value$24.04$25.14$26.29
Upside / Downside21.09%26.66%32.44%

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