Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Primeton Information Technologies, Inc. (688118.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.22 - $3.14$2.68
Multi-Stage$3.44 - $3.77$3.61
Blended Fair Value$3.14
Current Price$29.11
Upside-89.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.000.500.310.170.000.360.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%62.85%84.69%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.40%0.00%1.89%1.48%0.80%0.00%0.84%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.243.902.34
Cash Retained (M)17.4417.4417.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.24-3.90-2.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.2013.5415.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)91.9691.9691.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.300.31
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.22$2.68$3.14
Upside / Downside-92.38%-90.81%-89.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.2130.9030.5930.2829.9829.6830.57
Payout Ratio44.13%53.30%62.48%71.65%80.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.7716.4719.1121.7024.2326.7128.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14.8214.9715.13
Year 2 PV (M)15.4815.8016.12
Year 3 PV (M)15.8216.3116.81
Year 4 PV (M)15.9016.5617.24
Year 5 PV (M)15.7716.6017.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)238.92251.36264.31
Equity Value (M)316.71331.59347.05
Shares Outstanding (M)91.9691.9691.96
Fair Value$3.44$3.61$3.77
Upside / Downside-88.17%-87.61%-87.04%

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