Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Taiwan Auto-Design Co. (6791.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$156.93 - $807.85$319.53
Multi-Stage$91.43 - $99.75$95.52
Blended Fair Value$207.52
Current Price$123.00
Upside68.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS7.73%0.00%3.473.183.052.781.562.390.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--9.07%4.32%9.80%78.47%-34.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.92%3.68%3.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)84.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.9210.576.34
Cash Retained (M)12.0212.0212.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.92-10.57-6.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4.901.445.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.8320.8320.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.240.070.27
LTM Dividend per Share3.483.483.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.240.070.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.253.553.76
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$156.93$319.53$807.85
Upside / Downside27.58%159.78%556.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)84.6090.0995.95102.19108.83115.90119.38
Payout Ratio85.79%86.63%87.48%88.32%89.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72.5878.0583.9390.2597.03104.31110.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)71.8072.4873.16
Year 2 PV (M)71.0372.3873.75
Year 3 PV (M)70.2672.2774.33
Year 4 PV (M)69.4972.1674.91
Year 5 PV (M)68.7272.0475.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,552.891,627.901,705.78
Equity Value (M)1,904.191,989.242,077.41
Shares Outstanding (M)20.8320.8320.83
Fair Value$91.43$95.52$99.75
Upside / Downside-25.66%-22.34%-18.90%

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