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Taiwan Steel Union Co., Ltd (6581.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$110.95 - $219.07$153.46
Multi-Stage$164.95 - $180.68$172.67
Blended Fair Value$163.06
Current Price$110.50
Upside47.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.89%0.00%4.286.483.992.992.594.965.333.041.342.69
YoY Growth---33.85%62.50%33.33%15.38%-47.79%-6.92%75.18%126.67%-50.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.95%7.18%4.23%3.54%3.51%9.64%5.28%2.38%0.99%4.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)756.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)667.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)88.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)151.2094.5056.70
Cash Retained (M)88.3888.3888.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-151.20-94.50-56.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)-62.82-6.1231.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)111.67111.67111.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.56-0.050.28
LTM Dividend per Share5.985.985.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.56-0.050.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.425.926.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate1.70%2.70%3.70%
Fair Value$110.95$153.46$219.07
Upside / Downside0.41%38.88%98.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)756.00776.42797.38818.91841.03863.74889.65
Payout Ratio88.31%88.65%88.99%89.32%89.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)667.63688.28709.56731.49754.08777.36822.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate1.70%2.70%3.70%
Year 1 PV (M)638.99645.27651.56
Year 2 PV (M)611.57623.66635.86
Year 3 PV (M)585.32602.76620.54
Year 4 PV (M)560.19582.56605.58
Year 5 PV (M)536.14563.02590.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,487.4916,264.0417,071.44
Equity Value (M)18,419.7119,281.3120,175.94
Shares Outstanding (M)111.67111.67111.67
Fair Value$164.95$172.67$180.68
Upside / Downside49.28%56.26%63.51%

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