Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Symtek Automation Asia Co., Ltd. (6438.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$636.97 - $1,560.00$1,461.94
Multi-Stage$230.84 - $252.45$241.45
Blended Fair Value$851.70
Current Price$177.00
Upside381.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.92%2.52%4.228.005.603.231.132.012.881.312.011.64
YoY Growth---47.31%42.81%73.62%186.67%-44.11%-30.00%118.94%-34.69%22.50%-50.00%
Dividend Yield--2.29%6.52%5.41%2.68%1.14%4.84%4.70%1.64%3.64%3.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)630.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)383.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)246.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)126.0678.7947.27
Cash Retained (M)246.96246.96246.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-126.06-78.79-47.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)120.90168.17199.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)80.3680.3680.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.502.092.49
LTM Dividend per Share4.774.774.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.502.092.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.286.867.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$636.97$1,461.94$1,560.00
Upside / Downside259.87%725.96%781.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)630.32671.29714.93761.40810.89863.60889.50
Payout Ratio60.82%66.66%72.49%78.33%84.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)383.36447.46518.26596.39682.48777.24822.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)416.05419.99423.93
Year 2 PV (M)448.06456.59465.21
Year 3 PV (M)479.41493.17507.19
Year 4 PV (M)510.10529.72549.90
Year 5 PV (M)540.15566.24593.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,155.7616,936.0917,746.29
Equity Value (M)18,549.5419,401.8120,285.85
Shares Outstanding (M)80.3680.3680.36
Fair Value$230.84$241.45$252.45
Upside / Downside30.42%36.41%42.63%

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