Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Impact HD Inc. (6067.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,629.14 - $3,097.58$2,902.88
Multi-Stage$1,463.74 - $1,605.67$1,533.38
Blended Fair Value$2,218.13
Current Price$30.11
Upside7,266.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS13.08%0.00%7.736.936.405.914.674.183.383.012.510.00
YoY Growth--11.51%8.28%8.27%26.66%11.68%23.74%12.31%19.80%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--23.70%28.64%30.54%52.57%13.08%54.75%64.93%63.42%28.26%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,704.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,237.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,467.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,140.801,963.001,177.80
Cash Retained (M)7,467.007,467.007,467.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,140.80-1,963.00-1,177.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,326.205,504.006,289.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,008.251,008.251,008.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.295.466.24
LTM Dividend per Share8.178.178.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.295.466.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.4613.6314.41
WACC / Discount Rate4.13%4.13%4.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,629.14$2,902.88$3,097.58
Upside / Downside8,631.80%9,540.93%10,187.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,704.0016,724.7617,811.8718,969.6420,202.6721,515.8422,161.32
Payout Ratio52.45%59.96%67.47%74.98%82.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,237.0010,028.3812,017.8414,223.5616,665.2519,364.2620,499.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.13%4.13%4.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,540.279,630.709,721.13
Year 2 PV (M)10,876.4311,083.5911,292.71
Year 3 PV (M)12,246.1012,597.6412,955.85
Year 4 PV (M)13,649.9614,174.8914,714.83
Year 5 PV (M)15,088.6515,817.4316,574.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,414,410.171,482,726.711,553,657.89
Equity Value (M)1,475,811.571,546,030.971,618,916.52
Shares Outstanding (M)1,008.251,008.251,008.25
Fair Value$1,463.74$1,533.38$1,605.67
Upside / Downside4,761.29%4,992.60%5,232.68%

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