Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent Equipment Co.,Ltd. (603273.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.10 - $1.60$1.34
Multi-Stage$1.89 - $2.08$1.98
Blended Fair Value$1.66
Current Price$18.87
Upside-91.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS4.23%0.00%0.130.000.000.150.230.110.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--13,589.35%-58.65%-98.43%-33.89%109.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.00%0.03%1.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.444.032.42
Cash Retained (M)17.2017.2017.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.44-4.03-2.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.7613.1814.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)214.47214.47214.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.69%8.69%8.69%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.10$1.34$1.60
Upside / Downside-94.16%-92.89%-91.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.2031.8831.5631.2530.9430.6331.54
Payout Ratio46.59%55.27%63.95%72.63%81.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.0017.6220.1922.7025.1627.5629.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.69%8.69%8.69%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16.0516.2116.38
Year 2 PV (M)16.7417.0917.43
Year 3 PV (M)17.1517.6818.22
Year 4 PV (M)17.3118.0318.77
Year 5 PV (M)17.2718.1719.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)321.42338.16355.59
Equity Value (M)405.94425.33445.49
Shares Outstanding (M)214.47214.47214.47
Fair Value$1.89$1.98$2.08
Upside / Downside-89.97%-89.49%-88.99%

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