Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yiwu Huading Nylon Co.,Ltd. (601113.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.14 - $7.29$5.48
Multi-Stage$23.55 - $26.05$24.78
Blended Fair Value$15.13
Current Price$4.21
Upside259.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.95%-1.14%0.080.030.030.050.060.160.050.080.080.07
YoY Growth--129.12%4.70%-40.42%-2.51%-64.12%193.08%-30.92%-4.42%14.08%-19.23%
Dividend Yield--1.81%1.03%0.85%1.24%1.73%6.17%0.61%1.12%1.56%1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)352.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)275.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)70.4344.0226.41
Cash Retained (M)275.09275.09275.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-70.43-44.02-26.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)204.66231.07248.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,090.581,090.581,090.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.280.30
WACC / Discount Rate2.91%2.91%2.91%
Growth Rate-3.14%-2.14%-1.14%
Fair Value$4.14$5.48$7.29
Upside / Downside-1.76%30.05%73.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)352.16344.61337.22329.99322.91315.99325.47
Payout Ratio21.89%35.51%49.13%62.75%76.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.07122.37165.68207.08246.63284.39301.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.91%2.91%2.91%
Growth Rate-3.14%-2.14%-1.14%
Year 1 PV (M)117.70118.91120.13
Year 2 PV (M)153.28156.46159.67
Year 3 PV (M)184.27190.03195.92
Year 4 PV (M)211.08219.94229.06
Year 5 PV (M)234.11246.45259.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,782.9526,089.0227,449.58
Equity Value (M)25,683.3827,020.8128,413.66
Shares Outstanding (M)1,090.581,090.581,090.58
Fair Value$23.55$24.78$26.05
Upside / Downside459.39%488.52%518.85%

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