Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fujian Funeng Co., Ltd. (600483.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Diversified UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.20 - $32.56$23.41
Multi-Stage$12.99 - $14.19$13.58
Blended Fair Value$18.50
Current Price$9.83
Upside88.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.45%11.08%0.470.500.360.400.300.270.290.220.220.24
YoY Growth---5.99%39.39%-9.99%31.30%11.02%-5.68%32.46%-1.15%-6.04%43.32%
Dividend Yield--5.10%4.77%3.81%4.67%4.09%4.33%3.77%3.71%2.57%2.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,008.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)340.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,668.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)601.79376.12225.67
Cash Retained (M)2,668.502,668.502,668.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-601.79-376.12-225.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,066.712,292.382,442.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,785.582,785.582,785.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.740.820.88
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.740.820.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.860.951.00
WACC / Discount Rate10.80%10.80%10.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.20$23.41$32.56
Upside / Downside75.01%138.18%231.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,008.963,204.543,412.843,634.673,870.924,122.544,246.21
Payout Ratio11.31%27.05%42.79%58.53%74.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)340.46866.891,460.322,127.232,874.663,710.283,927.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.80%10.80%10.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)775.05782.40789.74
Year 2 PV (M)1,167.291,189.521,211.97
Year 3 PV (M)1,520.241,563.881,608.35
Year 4 PV (M)1,836.751,907.391,980.04
Year 5 PV (M)2,119.512,221.892,328.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,768.5930,158.1231,600.83
Equity Value (M)36,187.4337,823.2039,519.12
Shares Outstanding (M)2,785.582,785.582,785.58
Fair Value$12.99$13.58$14.19
Upside / Downside32.16%38.13%44.32%

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