Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Seatrium Ltd (5E2.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.59 - $0.87$0.72
Multi-Stage$1.02 - $1.12$1.07
Blended Fair Value$0.90
Current Price$2.01
Upside-55.43%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.010.010.020.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-50.02%-42.86%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)265.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)214.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)53.0533.1519.89
Cash Retained (M)214.45214.45214.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-53.05-33.15-19.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)161.40181.30194.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,420.453,420.453,420.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate8.29%8.29%8.29%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.59$0.72$0.87
Upside / Downside-70.60%-64.02%-56.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)265.23262.58259.96257.36254.78252.23259.80
Payout Ratio19.15%33.32%47.49%61.66%75.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.7887.49123.45158.68193.20227.01240.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.29%8.29%8.29%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)79.9780.7981.61
Year 2 PV (M)103.16105.27107.41
Year 3 PV (M)121.21124.96128.79
Year 4 PV (M)134.91140.50146.26
Year 5 PV (M)144.91152.45160.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,900.513,051.543,208.81
Equity Value (M)3,484.673,655.523,833.18
Shares Outstanding (M)3,420.453,420.453,420.45
Fair Value$1.02$1.07$1.12
Upside / Downside-49.31%-46.83%-44.25%

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