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Definitive Analysis

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INFRONEER Holdings Inc. (5076.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16,120.37 - $34,953.66$32,756.69
Multi-Stage$5,268.08 - $5,767.00$5,512.95
Blended Fair Value$19,134.82
Current Price$1,539.00
Upside1,143.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS35.16%0.00%61.1773.9938.5625.6913.0913.5610.939.577.015.74
YoY Growth---17.33%91.89%50.07%96.26%-3.45%24.01%14.29%36.48%22.19%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.05%5.68%2.85%2.66%1.34%1.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48,870.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17,037.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)31,833.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,774.006,108.753,665.25
Cash Retained (M)31,833.0031,833.0031,833.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,774.00-6,108.75-3,665.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,059.0025,724.2528,167.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)278.05278.05278.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share79.3392.52101.30
LTM Dividend per Share61.2761.2761.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share79.3392.52101.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend140.61153.79162.58
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16,120.37$32,756.69$34,953.66
Upside / Downside947.46%2,028.44%2,171.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48,870.0052,046.5555,429.5859,032.5062,869.6166,956.1468,964.82
Payout Ratio34.86%45.89%56.92%67.94%78.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17,037.0023,883.9031,548.9240,109.4849,649.6360,260.5263,792.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)22,232.2922,443.0222,653.75
Year 2 PV (M)27,336.4527,857.1328,382.73
Year 3 PV (M)32,350.6933,279.3634,225.63
Year 4 PV (M)37,276.1638,709.7040,184.19
Year 5 PV (M)42,114.0444,148.1646,260.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,303,504.461,366,464.211,431,833.58
Equity Value (M)1,464,814.081,532,901.581,603,540.02
Shares Outstanding (M)278.05278.05278.05
Fair Value$5,268.08$5,512.95$5,767.00
Upside / Downside242.31%258.22%274.72%

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