Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ecopro HN Co., Ltd. (383310.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,651.02 - $9,850.63$8,180.69
Multi-Stage$12,317.39 - $13,539.78$12,916.67
Blended Fair Value$10,548.68
Current Price$22,500.00
Upside-53.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%461.20460.98254.700.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.05%80.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.81%0.58%0.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16,542.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,280.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,262.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,308.502,067.811,240.69
Cash Retained (M)10,262.4710,262.4710,262.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,308.50-2,067.81-1,240.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,953.978,194.669,021.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.8319.8319.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share350.69413.26454.97
LTM Dividend per Share316.70316.70316.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share350.69413.26454.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend667.39729.96771.67
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6,651.02$8,180.69$9,850.63
Upside / Downside-70.44%-63.64%-56.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16,542.5116,377.0816,213.3116,051.1815,890.6615,731.7616,203.71
Payout Ratio37.96%48.37%58.78%69.19%79.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,280.037,921.669,529.8311,105.0412,647.7914,158.5814,988.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)7,271.987,346.187,420.38
Year 2 PV (M)8,030.788,195.518,361.91
Year 3 PV (M)8,590.718,856.389,127.48
Year 4 PV (M)8,981.739,353.989,737.69
Year 5 PV (M)9,230.009,710.6210,211.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)202,142.45212,668.48223,628.50
Equity Value (M)244,247.65256,131.16268,487.03
Shares Outstanding (M)19.8319.8319.83
Fair Value$12,317.39$12,916.67$13,539.78
Upside / Downside-45.26%-42.59%-39.82%

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