Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NEXON Co., Ltd. (3659.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,667.90 - $5,789.13$3,818.23
Multi-Stage$1,940.46 - $2,119.14$2,028.18
Blended Fair Value$2,923.20
Current Price$3,247.00
Upside-9.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%8.94%12.5810.4810.735.435.400.000.000.005.325.26
YoY Growth--20.00%-2.34%97.82%0.54%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-99.98%1.23%-1.55%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.42%0.34%0.19%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.60%0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113,224.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23,979.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)89,245.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22,644.8014,153.008,491.80
Cash Retained (M)89,245.0089,245.0089,245.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-22,644.80-14,153.00-8,491.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)66,600.2075,092.0080,753.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)818.54818.54818.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share81.3691.7498.66
LTM Dividend per Share29.2929.2929.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share81.3691.7498.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend110.66121.03127.95
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,667.90$3,818.23$5,789.13
Upside / Downside-17.83%17.59%78.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113,224.00120,583.56128,421.49136,768.89145,658.87155,126.69159,780.49
Payout Ratio21.18%34.94%48.71%62.47%76.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23,979.0042,135.1562,550.2985,441.37111,044.02139,614.02147,796.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)37,987.8638,347.9338,708.00
Year 2 PV (M)50,842.8451,811.2552,788.80
Year 3 PV (M)62,613.6464,411.0566,242.54
Year 4 PV (M)73,366.2276,187.6879,089.74
Year 5 PV (M)83,163.0287,179.8391,350.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,280,367.331,342,209.551,406,418.61
Equity Value (M)1,588,340.901,660,147.281,734,598.06
Shares Outstanding (M)818.54818.54818.54
Fair Value$1,940.46$2,028.18$2,119.14
Upside / Downside-40.24%-37.54%-34.74%

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