Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sihui Fuji Electronics Technology Co., Ltd. (300852.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.48 - $78.55$41.85
Multi-Stage$17.38 - $19.00$18.18
Blended Fair Value$30.02
Current Price$41.56
Upside-27.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS137.71%0.00%0.230.240.240.160.140.000.140.010.000.00
YoY Growth---5.73%0.67%49.18%13.55%4,621.37%-97.85%2,454.83%468.27%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.73%1.03%0.83%0.56%0.43%0.02%0.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)148.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)128.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.6918.5611.13
Cash Retained (M)128.55128.55128.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.69-18.56-11.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)98.87110.00117.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)142.57142.57142.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.690.770.82
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.690.770.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.830.910.96
WACC / Discount Rate8.82%8.82%8.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.48$41.85$78.55
Upside / Downside-36.28%0.71%88.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)148.44158.09168.37179.31190.97203.38209.48
Payout Ratio13.40%28.72%44.04%59.36%74.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.8945.4074.15106.44142.61183.04193.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.82%8.82%8.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)41.3341.7242.11
Year 2 PV (M)61.4562.6263.80
Year 3 PV (M)80.3082.6084.95
Year 4 PV (M)97.94101.71105.58
Year 5 PV (M)114.44119.96125.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,082.172,182.742,287.16
Equity Value (M)2,477.622,591.352,709.31
Shares Outstanding (M)142.57142.57142.57
Fair Value$17.38$18.18$19.00
Upside / Downside-58.19%-56.27%-54.28%

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