Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen S.C New Energy Technology Corporation (300724.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,667.61 - $1,964.73$1,841.24
Multi-Stage$1,189.19 - $1,305.31$1,246.17
Blended Fair Value$1,543.70
Current Price$100.72
Upside1,432.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS49.12%74.37%1.220.230.200.180.240.170.170.110.000.00
YoY Growth--435.24%14.44%10.81%-24.01%43.00%-4.00%56.25%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.98%0.37%0.17%0.25%0.22%0.36%0.48%0.54%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,429.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)420.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,009.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)685.81428.63257.18
Cash Retained (M)3,009.043,009.043,009.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-685.81-428.63-257.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,323.232,580.412,751.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)347.10347.10347.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.697.437.93
LTM Dividend per Share1.211.211.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.697.437.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.908.649.14
WACC / Discount Rate1.26%1.26%1.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,667.61$1,841.24$1,964.73
Upside / Downside1,555.69%1,728.07%1,850.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,429.063,651.953,889.334,142.144,411.374,698.114,839.06
Payout Ratio12.25%27.80%43.35%58.90%74.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)420.021,015.211,686.002,439.703,284.264,228.304,476.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.26%1.26%1.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)993.161,002.581,011.99
Year 2 PV (M)1,613.571,644.301,675.33
Year 3 PV (M)2,284.192,349.762,416.58
Year 4 PV (M)3,008.153,123.833,242.82
Year 5 PV (M)3,788.733,971.724,161.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)401,078.88420,451.14440,564.82
Equity Value (M)412,766.67432,543.33453,073.26
Shares Outstanding (M)347.10347.10347.10
Fair Value$1,189.19$1,246.17$1,305.31
Upside / Downside1,080.69%1,137.26%1,195.98%

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