Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Kyland Technology Co., Ltd. (300353.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.01 - $1.89$1.37
Multi-Stage$1.17 - $1.28$1.22
Blended Fair Value$1.29
Current Price$25.86
Upside-94.99%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.61%13.16%0.050.050.050.070.090.080.090.050.010.02
YoY Growth---2.88%-7.45%-24.97%-22.21%8.81%-5.85%85.37%270.49%-45.98%72.74%
Dividend Yield--0.22%0.49%0.41%0.71%1.46%0.70%0.64%0.29%0.08%0.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.125.083.05
Cash Retained (M)16.9516.9516.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.12-5.08-3.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.8211.8713.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)614.94614.94614.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.060.06
WACC / Discount Rate8.13%8.13%8.13%
Growth Rate2.75%3.75%4.75%
Fair Value$1.01$1.37$1.89
Upside / Downside-96.10%-94.71%-92.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.6242.1443.7245.3647.0648.8350.29
Payout Ratio58.28%64.62%70.97%77.31%83.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.6727.2331.0335.0739.3743.9546.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.13%8.13%8.13%
Growth Rate2.75%3.75%4.75%
Year 1 PV (M)24.9425.1825.43
Year 2 PV (M)26.0326.5427.05
Year 3 PV (M)26.9427.7428.55
Year 4 PV (M)27.7028.8029.92
Year 5 PV (M)28.3229.7231.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)583.98612.95643.07
Equity Value (M)717.91750.93785.20
Shares Outstanding (M)614.94614.94614.94
Fair Value$1.17$1.22$1.28
Upside / Downside-95.49%-95.28%-95.06%

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