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Bausen Inc. (2948.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Home ImprovementSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$153.53 - $444.14$416.23
Multi-Stage$63.15 - $69.00$66.02
Blended Fair Value$241.12
Current Price$38.90
Upside519.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS37.50%0.00%2.382.442.181.250.470.490.420.000.000.00
YoY Growth---2.19%11.76%74.35%165.28%-2.77%16.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.95%4.06%3.35%1.86%0.73%1.11%0.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.648.525.11
Cash Retained (M)13.5813.5813.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.64-8.52-5.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.065.068.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.5330.5330.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.170.28
LTM Dividend per Share1.791.791.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.170.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.791.952.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$153.53$416.23$444.14
Upside / Downside294.68%969.99%1,041.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.1872.6177.3382.3687.7193.4196.21
Payout Ratio80.08%82.07%84.05%86.03%88.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.6059.5965.0070.8577.2084.0789.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)55.3155.8356.36
Year 2 PV (M)55.9957.0658.14
Year 3 PV (M)56.6658.2859.94
Year 4 PV (M)57.3059.5061.76
Year 5 PV (M)57.9160.7163.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,644.621,724.061,806.54
Equity Value (M)1,927.792,015.442,106.35
Shares Outstanding (M)30.5330.5330.53
Fair Value$63.15$66.02$69.00
Upside / Downside62.33%69.71%77.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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