Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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YoungQin International Co., Ltd. (2755.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$372.33 - $1,088.00$1,019.61
Multi-Stage$151.38 - $165.55$158.33
Blended Fair Value$588.97
Current Price$123.64
Upside376.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS22.11%0.00%2.950.961.091.090.491.090.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--208.25%-12.00%0.00%122.22%-54.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.91%1.19%1.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)200.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)108.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.1925.1215.07
Cash Retained (M)92.4492.4492.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.19-25.12-15.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.2567.3277.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.7336.7336.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.421.832.11
LTM Dividend per Share2.952.952.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.421.832.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.384.795.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$372.33$1,019.61$1,088.00
Upside / Downside201.14%724.66%779.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)200.94214.01227.92242.73258.51275.31283.57
Payout Ratio54.00%61.20%68.40%75.60%82.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)108.50130.97155.89183.50214.04247.78262.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)121.54122.70123.85
Year 2 PV (M)134.27136.82139.41
Year 3 PV (M)146.68150.89155.18
Year 4 PV (M)158.78164.89171.17
Year 5 PV (M)170.59178.82187.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,828.285,061.495,303.62
Equity Value (M)5,560.145,815.616,080.61
Shares Outstanding (M)36.7336.7336.73
Fair Value$151.38$158.33$165.55
Upside / Downside22.43%28.06%33.89%

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