Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Jp-Holdings,Inc. (2749.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,424.15 - $7,046.78$2,540.06
Multi-Stage$845.11 - $924.83$884.24
Blended Fair Value$1,712.15
Current Price$559.00
Upside206.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS16.06%8.56%7.945.944.563.963.963.773.572.555.113.91
YoY Growth--33.63%30.21%15.34%-0.18%5.09%5.56%39.93%-49.98%30.69%11.87%
Dividend Yield--1.42%1.10%1.33%1.57%1.47%1.37%1.19%0.72%1.70%1.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,784.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)338.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,445.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)756.89473.05283.83
Cash Retained (M)3,445.743,445.743,445.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-756.89-473.05-283.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,688.862,972.693,161.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)85.4485.4485.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share31.4734.7937.01
LTM Dividend per Share3.963.963.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share31.4734.7937.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend35.4438.7640.97
WACC / Discount Rate8.13%8.13%8.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,424.15$2,540.06$7,046.78
Upside / Downside154.77%354.39%1,160.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,784.434,030.424,292.404,571.404,868.545,185.005,340.55
Payout Ratio8.95%25.16%41.37%57.58%73.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)338.691,014.041,775.752,632.203,592.494,666.504,940.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.13%8.13%8.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)929.03937.84946.64
Year 2 PV (M)1,490.511,518.901,547.56
Year 3 PV (M)2,024.182,082.292,141.50
Year 4 PV (M)2,531.062,628.402,728.51
Year 5 PV (M)3,012.133,157.623,308.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)62,217.5465,222.6768,342.82
Equity Value (M)72,204.4675,547.7179,015.70
Shares Outstanding (M)85.4485.4485.44
Fair Value$845.11$884.24$924.83
Upside / Downside51.18%58.18%65.44%

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