Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

EDA Group Holdings Limited (2505.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.82 - $2.62$2.21
Multi-Stage$2.88 - $3.17$3.02
Blended Fair Value$2.62
Current Price$2.37
Upside10.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.00%1.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)106.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)97.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.3713.358.01
Cash Retained (M)97.6397.6397.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.37-13.35-8.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)76.2684.2889.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)416.24416.24416.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.220.24
WACC / Discount Rate9.05%9.05%9.05%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.82$2.21$2.62
Upside / Downside-23.16%-6.65%10.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)106.83105.76104.71103.66102.62101.60104.64
Payout Ratio8.61%24.89%41.17%57.44%73.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.2026.3243.1059.5575.6591.4496.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.05%9.05%9.05%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)23.9024.1424.38
Year 2 PV (M)35.5236.2536.98
Year 3 PV (M)44.5445.9247.32
Year 4 PV (M)51.3753.5055.69
Year 5 PV (M)56.3659.2962.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)986.151,037.501,090.97
Equity Value (M)1,197.831,256.601,317.70
Shares Outstanding (M)416.24416.24416.24
Fair Value$2.88$3.02$3.17
Upside / Downside21.43%27.38%33.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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