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Definitive Analysis

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United Strength Power Holdings Limited (2337.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.89 - $49.69$46.57
Multi-Stage$7.36 - $8.06$7.71
Blended Fair Value$27.14
Current Price$1.61
Upside1,585.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.39%16.30%0.070.000.020.040.050.050.030.000.000.01
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-51.43%-5.73%2.23%78.20%0.00%-100.00%-61.24%-57.32%
Dividend Yield--5.11%0.00%0.30%0.39%0.63%0.83%0.68%0.00%0.10%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)93.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.7111.707.02
Cash Retained (M)66.2166.2166.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.71-11.70-7.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)47.5054.5259.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)374.50374.50374.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21.89$46.57$49.69
Upside / Downside1,259.73%2,792.28%2,986.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)93.5799.65106.13113.03120.37128.20132.04
Payout Ratio29.24%41.39%53.54%65.69%77.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.3641.2456.8274.2593.71115.38122.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)38.3838.7439.10
Year 2 PV (M)49.2050.1351.08
Year 3 PV (M)59.8261.5363.28
Year 4 PV (M)70.2472.9475.72
Year 5 PV (M)80.4784.3688.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,459.752,578.552,701.91
Equity Value (M)2,757.842,886.263,019.48
Shares Outstanding (M)374.50374.50374.50
Fair Value$7.36$7.71$8.06
Upside / Downside357.39%378.69%400.79%

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