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Regina Miracle International (Holdings) Limited (2199.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.61 - $6.12$4.70
Multi-Stage$7.10 - $7.80$7.44
Blended Fair Value$6.07
Current Price$2.15
Upside182.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-9.63%0.00%0.050.050.160.120.040.080.070.050.060.00
YoY Growth---11.32%-66.24%35.34%190.00%-48.72%5.41%48.00%-10.72%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.61%2.68%5.23%2.44%1.75%2.29%1.30%0.75%0.93%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)365.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)187.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)177.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)73.0245.6427.38
Cash Retained (M)177.81177.81177.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-73.02-45.64-27.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)104.78132.17150.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,224.251,224.251,224.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-0.25%0.75%1.75%
Fair Value$3.61$4.70$6.12
Upside / Downside67.98%118.77%184.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)365.12367.84370.59373.35376.14378.94390.31
Payout Ratio51.30%59.04%66.78%74.52%82.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)187.31217.18247.48278.22309.41341.05361.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-0.25%0.75%1.75%
Year 1 PV (M)202.21204.24206.27
Year 2 PV (M)214.55218.87223.24
Year 3 PV (M)224.57231.40238.36
Year 4 PV (M)232.54242.00251.76
Year 5 PV (M)238.65250.86263.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,574.027,961.378,364.42
Equity Value (M)8,686.549,108.749,547.59
Shares Outstanding (M)1,224.251,224.251,224.25
Fair Value$7.10$7.44$7.80
Upside / Downside230.02%246.06%262.73%

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