Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PharmaResearch Co., Ltd. (214450.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$257,890.61 - $559,623.12$369,090.76
Multi-Stage$184,352.75 - $201,503.37$192,772.34
Blended Fair Value$280,931.55
Current Price$601,000.00
Upside-53.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.68%0.00%892.03665.60558.32444.66260.14262.86247.70249.34167.370.00
YoY Growth--34.02%19.22%25.56%70.93%-1.04%6.12%-0.66%48.98%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.27%0.62%0.80%0.48%0.39%0.68%0.63%0.46%0.51%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)151,242.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,308.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)138,934.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30,248.5618,905.3511,343.21
Cash Retained (M)138,934.17138,934.17138,934.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-30,248.56-18,905.35-11,343.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)108,685.61120,028.82127,590.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.3111.3111.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share9,608.2010,610.9911,279.51
LTM Dividend per Share1,088.131,088.131,088.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share9,608.2010,610.9911,279.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend10,696.3311,699.1112,367.63
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$257,890.61$369,090.76$559,623.12
Upside / Downside-57.09%-38.59%-6.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)151,242.78161,073.56171,543.34182,693.66194,568.75207,215.72213,432.19
Payout Ratio8.14%24.51%40.88%57.26%73.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,308.6139,480.1870,132.05104,601.85143,256.42186,494.15197,424.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)35,594.2735,931.6636,269.05
Year 2 PV (M)57,005.7458,091.5459,187.58
Year 3 PV (M)76,655.3578,855.8581,098.06
Year 4 PV (M)94,649.4898,289.43102,033.37
Year 5 PV (M)111,088.82116,454.45122,025.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,710,358.591,792,969.551,878,742.23
Equity Value (M)2,085,352.242,180,592.472,279,355.72
Shares Outstanding (M)11.3111.3111.31
Fair Value$184,352.75$192,772.34$201,503.37
Upside / Downside-69.33%-67.92%-66.47%

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