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Definitive Analysis

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Hanmi Pharm. Co., Ltd. (128940.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,525,315.16 - $1,797,243.60$1,684,204.37
Multi-Stage$426,798.97 - $468,031.07$447,031.04
Blended Fair Value$1,065,617.71
Current Price$367,000.00
Upside190.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.26%0.00%961.861,378.63459.06450.56623.63433.79686.130.001,564.380.00
YoY Growth---30.23%200.32%1.89%-27.75%43.76%-36.78%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.43%0.42%0.18%0.17%0.21%0.18%0.17%0.00%0.60%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)118,530.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36,941.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)81,588.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23,706.0714,816.308,889.78
Cash Retained (M)81,588.8881,588.8881,588.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-23,706.07-14,816.30-8,889.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)57,882.8066,772.5872,699.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.0513.0513.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,434.365,115.405,569.43
LTM Dividend per Share2,830.062,830.062,830.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,434.365,115.405,569.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend7,264.427,945.468,399.49
WACC / Discount Rate5.16%5.16%5.16%
Growth Rate4.99%5.99%6.99%
Fair Value$1,525,315.16$1,684,204.37$1,797,243.60
Upside / Downside315.62%358.91%389.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)118,530.36125,624.80133,143.87141,112.98149,559.06158,510.68163,266.00
Payout Ratio31.17%42.93%54.70%66.47%78.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36,941.4953,934.5172,829.3893,792.87117,004.92142,659.61151,021.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.16%5.16%5.16%
Growth Rate4.99%5.99%6.99%
Year 1 PV (M)50,803.1251,287.0351,770.93
Year 2 PV (M)64,618.0565,854.9167,103.49
Year 3 PV (M)78,386.4080,647.7282,952.13
Year 4 PV (M)92,108.2795,668.1199,330.15
Year 5 PV (M)105,783.80110,918.72116,251.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,179,414.075,430,831.455,691,918.78
Equity Value (M)5,571,113.715,835,207.946,109,326.62
Shares Outstanding (M)13.0513.0513.05
Fair Value$426,798.97$447,031.04$468,031.07
Upside / Downside16.29%21.81%27.53%

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