Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Grand Korea Leisure Co., Ltd. (114090.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,630.46 - $3,470.04$3,068.70
Multi-Stage$7,221.73 - $8,010.97$7,607.85
Blended Fair Value$5,338.27
Current Price$15,130.00
Upside-64.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.27%-9.96%413.020.000.000.00529.02710.03730.031,000.04831.041,002.04
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-25.49%-2.74%-27.00%20.34%-17.07%-15.01%
Dividend Yield--3.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.18%5.26%3.23%3.89%3.79%4.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44,596.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17,443.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)27,153.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,919.335,574.583,344.75
Cash Retained (M)27,153.3727,153.3727,153.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,919.33-5,574.58-3,344.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)18,234.0421,578.7923,808.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61.8561.8561.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share294.80348.87384.92
LTM Dividend per Share282.01282.01282.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share294.80348.87384.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend576.81630.88666.93
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate-11.96%-10.96%-9.96%
Fair Value$2,630.46$3,068.70$3,470.04
Upside / Downside-82.61%-79.72%-77.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44,596.6639,709.6135,358.1031,483.4528,033.3924,961.4025,710.24
Payout Ratio39.11%49.29%59.47%69.65%79.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17,443.2819,573.1621,026.7821,926.7722,377.0122,465.2623,781.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate-11.96%-10.96%-9.96%
Year 1 PV (M)18,028.6918,233.4618,438.24
Year 2 PV (M)17,839.3418,246.8918,659.05
Year 3 PV (M)17,134.9917,725.5218,329.46
Year 4 PV (M)16,106.9916,851.3417,621.20
Year 5 PV (M)14,894.5315,759.8516,664.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)362,680.91383,751.26405,789.71
Equity Value (M)446,685.45470,568.32495,502.57
Shares Outstanding (M)61.8561.8561.85
Fair Value$7,221.73$7,607.85$8,010.97
Upside / Downside-52.27%-49.72%-47.05%

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