Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zehnder Group AG (0R6S.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.51 - $103.80$75.21
Multi-Stage$95.15 - $104.43$99.70
Blended Fair Value$87.46
Current Price$71.68
Upside22.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.43%11.26%1.401.881.841.210.700.750.460.930.001.01
YoY Growth---25.24%1.98%51.88%72.73%-6.10%64.00%-50.98%0.00%-100.00%109.43%
Dividend Yield--2.92%3.26%3.26%1.35%1.28%1.78%1.56%2.72%0.00%2.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.185.113.07
Cash Retained (M)13.7013.7013.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.18-5.11-3.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.528.5910.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.9810.9810.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.500.780.97
LTM Dividend per Share2.482.482.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.500.780.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.983.263.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate0.90%1.90%2.90%
Fair Value$55.51$75.21$103.80
Upside / Downside-22.56%4.92%44.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.9041.6842.4743.2844.1044.9446.29
Payout Ratio66.50%71.20%75.90%80.60%85.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.2029.6832.2434.8837.6240.4542.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate0.90%1.90%2.90%
Year 1 PV (M)27.6427.9128.19
Year 2 PV (M)27.9628.5229.08
Year 3 PV (M)28.1829.0329.89
Year 4 PV (M)28.3129.4430.62
Year 5 PV (M)28.3429.7831.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)904.80950.54998.10
Equity Value (M)1,045.241,095.221,147.15
Shares Outstanding (M)10.9810.9810.98
Fair Value$95.15$99.70$104.43
Upside / Downside32.75%39.09%45.69%

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