Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Séché Environnement S.A. (0OG6.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$498.62 - $1,942.52$1,393.47
Multi-Stage$265.38 - $290.68$277.80
Blended Fair Value$835.63
Current Price$100.60
Upside730.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.70%1.36%1.201.101.000.950.950.950.950.950.950.95
YoY Growth--8.55%9.99%5.34%-0.03%0.05%-0.03%-0.04%0.01%-0.01%-8.99%
Dividend Yield--1.54%1.00%1.12%1.33%2.40%2.53%3.58%3.08%3.29%3.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)76.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.269.535.72
Cash Retained (M)58.3758.3758.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.26-9.53-5.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.1248.8452.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.777.777.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.556.286.77
LTM Dividend per Share2.302.302.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.556.286.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.858.599.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.01%6.01%7.01%
Fair Value$498.62$1,393.47$1,942.52
Upside / Downside395.65%1,285.16%1,830.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)76.2880.8685.7390.8896.34102.14105.20
Payout Ratio23.47%36.78%50.08%63.39%76.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.9129.7442.9457.6173.8991.9297.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.01%6.01%7.01%
Year 1 PV (M)27.6227.8828.15
Year 2 PV (M)37.0337.7438.45
Year 3 PV (M)46.1447.4748.83
Year 4 PV (M)54.9657.0859.27
Year 5 PV (M)63.4966.5769.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,833.851,922.842,015.26
Equity Value (M)2,063.092,159.592,259.73
Shares Outstanding (M)7.777.777.77
Fair Value$265.38$277.80$290.68
Upside / Downside163.80%176.14%188.94%

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