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NRG Energy, Inc. (0K4C.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: General UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$212.09 - $834.63$360.44
Multi-Stage$133.12 - $145.51$139.20
Blended Fair Value$249.82
Current Price$161.95
Upside54.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS66.13%7.53%2.021.901.651.591.470.160.180.190.381.00
YoY Growth--6.30%14.76%4.08%8.14%821.88%-13.51%-2.63%-50.00%-62.19%2.55%
Dividend Yield--2.11%2.70%4.82%4.14%3.89%0.58%0.44%0.62%2.02%7.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,441.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)409.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,032.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)288.20180.13108.08
Cash Retained (M)1,032.001,032.001,032.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-288.20-180.13-108.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)743.80851.88923.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)200.88200.88200.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.704.244.60
LTM Dividend per Share2.042.042.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.704.244.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.746.286.64
WACC / Discount Rate8.35%8.35%8.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$212.09$360.44$834.63
Upside / Downside30.96%122.56%415.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,441.001,534.671,634.421,740.661,853.801,974.292,033.52
Payout Ratio28.38%40.71%53.03%65.35%77.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)409.00624.71866.731,137.571,439.971,776.871,881.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.35%8.35%8.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)571.13576.54581.95
Year 2 PV (M)724.43738.22752.15
Year 3 PV (M)869.25894.20919.63
Year 4 PV (M)1,005.941,044.631,084.42
Year 5 PV (M)1,134.831,189.641,246.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,435.4823,519.1224,644.23
Equity Value (M)26,741.0527,962.3629,228.94
Shares Outstanding (M)200.88200.88200.88
Fair Value$133.12$139.20$145.51
Upside / Downside-17.80%-14.05%-10.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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