Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

MBB SE (0J7X.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$564.42 - $2,011.79$1,838.77
Multi-Stage$256.05 - $280.16$267.88
Blended Fair Value$1,053.33
Current Price$171.00
Upside515.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.57%4.01%1.001.072.151.950.780.771.621.500.730.70
YoY Growth---5.95%-50.26%10.07%151.41%1.32%-52.86%8.20%106.79%3.52%3.42%
Dividend Yield--0.75%1.04%2.66%1.54%0.60%1.46%1.92%1.67%0.81%2.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.836.774.06
Cash Retained (M)36.4336.4336.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.83-6.77-4.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.6029.6632.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.355.355.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.785.546.05
LTM Dividend per Share3.313.313.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.785.546.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.098.859.36
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$564.42$1,838.77$2,011.79
Upside / Downside230.07%975.31%1,076.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.1657.6861.4365.4269.6874.2176.43
Payout Ratio32.74%44.19%55.64%67.10%78.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.7325.4934.1843.9054.7366.7870.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)23.6023.8224.04
Year 2 PV (M)29.2929.8530.41
Year 3 PV (M)34.8235.8236.84
Year 4 PV (M)40.1941.7343.32
Year 5 PV (M)45.4047.5949.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,197.621,255.471,315.53
Equity Value (M)1,370.911,434.281,500.01
Shares Outstanding (M)5.355.355.35
Fair Value$256.05$267.88$280.16
Upside / Downside49.74%56.66%63.84%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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