Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Genuine Parts Company (0IUX.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$113.59 - $255.44$164.61
Multi-Stage$134.01 - $146.70$140.23
Blended Fair Value$152.42
Current Price$138.60
Upside9.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.80%4.80%3.983.783.563.343.253.152.992.842.782.64
YoY Growth--5.37%6.20%6.50%2.73%3.28%5.51%5.19%2.23%5.04%6.05%
Dividend Yield--3.34%2.45%2.13%2.65%2.82%4.68%2.64%3.16%3.01%2.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)808.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)564.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)244.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)161.70101.0660.64
Cash Retained (M)244.39244.39244.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-161.70-101.06-60.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)82.69143.33183.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)139.27139.27139.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.591.031.32
LTM Dividend per Share4.054.054.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.591.031.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.645.085.37
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate2.80%3.80%4.80%
Fair Value$113.59$164.61$255.44
Upside / Downside-18.04%18.77%84.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)808.50839.25871.17904.31938.71974.411,003.65
Payout Ratio69.77%73.82%77.86%81.91%85.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)564.11619.52678.32740.71806.86876.97928.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate2.80%3.80%4.80%
Year 1 PV (M)573.37578.95584.53
Year 2 PV (M)581.04592.40603.87
Year 3 PV (M)587.22604.52622.16
Year 4 PV (M)592.02615.39639.45
Year 5 PV (M)595.54625.07655.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,734.0116,514.2917,325.22
Equity Value (M)18,663.2019,530.6220,430.99
Shares Outstanding (M)139.27139.27139.27
Fair Value$134.01$140.23$146.70
Upside / Downside-3.31%1.18%5.84%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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