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KT&G Corporation (033780.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TobaccoSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$165,757.58 - $317,583.20$226,675.52
Multi-Stage$244,077.43 - $267,726.97$255,678.10
Blended Fair Value$241,176.81
Current Price$133,600.00
Upside80.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.04%3.83%5,442.737,203.845,343.305,525.895,167.464,686.014,686.014,217.413,973.673,971.55
YoY Growth---24.45%34.82%-3.30%6.94%10.27%0.00%11.11%6.13%0.05%6.25%
Dividend Yield--5.38%7.87%6.37%6.85%6.35%6.27%4.46%4.22%4.08%3.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,143,499.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)602,969.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)540,530.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)228,699.80142,937.3885,762.43
Cash Retained (M)540,530.00540,530.00540,530.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-228,699.80-142,937.38-85,762.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)311,830.20397,592.63454,767.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)107.78107.78107.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,893.203,688.914,219.39
LTM Dividend per Share5,594.425,594.425,594.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,893.203,688.914,219.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,487.619,283.339,813.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate1.55%2.55%3.55%
Fair Value$165,757.58$226,675.52$317,583.20
Upside / Downside24.07%69.67%137.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,143,499.001,172,650.701,202,545.591,233,202.591,264,641.151,296,881.181,335,787.61
Payout Ratio52.73%60.18%67.64%75.09%82.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)602,969.00705,749.72813,379.03926,037.341,043,911.121,167,193.061,235,603.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate1.55%2.55%3.55%
Year 1 PV (M)654,682.04661,128.98667,575.91
Year 2 PV (M)699,926.43713,779.26727,767.83
Year 3 PV (M)739,209.66761,263.36783,751.39
Year 4 PV (M)773,005.12803,906.29835,724.80
Year 5 PV (M)801,754.22842,015.48883,878.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,638,209.7423,775,020.5624,957,048.80
Equity Value (M)26,306,787.2027,557,113.9228,855,746.89
Shares Outstanding (M)107.78107.78107.78
Fair Value$244,077.43$255,678.10$267,726.97
Upside / Downside82.69%91.38%100.39%

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