Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Hancom Inc. (030520.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,455.91 - $6,673.87$5,507.93
Multi-Stage$9,015.40 - $9,894.40$9,446.40
Blended Fair Value$7,477.16
Current Price$30,550.00
Upside-75.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS11.39%0.00%406.780.000.000.000.00237.260.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,886.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,867.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,018.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,577.211,610.75966.45
Cash Retained (M)3,018.823,018.823,018.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,577.21-1,610.75-966.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)441.611,408.072,052.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.0624.0624.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.3558.5285.29
LTM Dividend per Share410.07410.07410.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.3558.5285.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend428.43468.59495.37
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4,455.91$5,507.93$6,673.87
Upside / Downside-85.41%-81.97%-78.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,886.0412,757.1812,629.6112,503.3112,378.2812,254.4912,622.13
Payout Ratio76.57%79.26%81.94%84.63%87.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,867.2210,111.1310,349.1810,581.4510,808.0411,029.0511,675.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9,317.419,412.499,507.56
Year 2 PV (M)8,788.148,968.409,150.50
Year 3 PV (M)8,280.038,536.098,797.38
Year 4 PV (M)7,793.448,116.448,449.38
Year 5 PV (M)7,328.517,710.128,107.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)175,421.04184,555.62194,066.83
Equity Value (M)216,928.56227,299.16238,079.12
Shares Outstanding (M)24.0624.0624.06
Fair Value$9,015.40$9,446.40$9,894.40
Upside / Downside-70.49%-69.08%-67.61%

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