Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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WH Group Limited (0288.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.24 - $3.76$2.91
Multi-Stage$4.63 - $5.08$4.85
Blended Fair Value$3.88
Current Price$0.96
Upside303.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.89%0.00%0.040.040.020.030.050.030.040.040.020.00
YoY Growth--17.14%57.56%-6.33%-44.57%59.73%-25.74%3.27%58.77%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.78%5.92%4.17%4.13%5.57%2.84%5.11%3.31%2.97%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,444.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,009.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)435.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)488.80305.50183.30
Cash Retained (M)435.00435.00435.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-488.80-305.50-183.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)-53.80129.50251.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12,830.0812,830.0812,830.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-0.45%0.55%1.55%
Fair Value$2.24$2.91$3.76
Upside / Downside133.41%202.62%290.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,444.002,457.442,470.952,484.542,498.202,511.942,587.29
Payout Ratio82.20%83.76%85.32%86.88%88.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,009.002,058.382,108.232,158.582,209.412,260.742,393.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-0.45%0.55%1.55%
Year 1 PV (M)1,916.951,936.211,955.46
Year 2 PV (M)1,828.481,865.401,902.69
Year 3 PV (M)1,743.521,796.591,850.72
Year 4 PV (M)1,661.961,729.751,799.60
Year 5 PV (M)1,583.731,664.891,749.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,654.3653,250.1655,951.30
Equity Value (M)59,388.9962,242.9965,209.12
Shares Outstanding (M)12,830.0812,830.0812,830.08
Fair Value$4.63$4.85$5.08
Upside / Downside381.43%404.56%428.61%

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