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Definitive Analysis

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COWAY Co., Ltd. (021240.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$520,316.20 - $1,585,774.03$1,486,057.09
Multi-Stage$233,937.17 - $256,171.94$244,849.45
Blended Fair Value$865,453.27
Current Price$98,500.00
Upside778.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.73%-2.30%1,363.731,313.221,262.571,212.070.003,618.343,214.205,696.732,896.042,065.17
YoY Growth--3.85%4.01%4.17%0.00%-100.00%12.57%-43.58%96.71%40.23%20.01%
Dividend Yield--1.68%2.30%2.40%1.77%0.00%6.26%3.37%6.34%3.01%2.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)574,642.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)189,121.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)385,521.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)114,928.4871,830.3043,098.18
Cash Retained (M)385,521.36385,521.36385,521.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-114,928.48-71,830.30-43,098.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)270,592.88313,691.06342,423.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.8371.8371.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,766.964,366.934,766.92
LTM Dividend per Share2,632.782,632.782,632.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,766.964,366.934,766.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend6,399.746,999.717,399.70
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.15%6.15%7.15%
Fair Value$520,316.20$1,486,057.09$1,585,774.03
Upside / Downside428.24%1,408.69%1,509.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)574,642.38609,990.34647,512.67687,343.10729,623.62774,504.94797,740.09
Payout Ratio32.91%44.33%55.75%67.16%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)189,121.02270,401.80360,966.61461,650.09573,354.41697,054.45737,909.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.15%6.15%7.15%
Year 1 PV (M)251,637.38254,030.48256,423.57
Year 2 PV (M)312,606.64318,580.75324,611.42
Year 3 PV (M)372,057.16382,773.34393,693.33
Year 4 PV (M)430,016.86446,609.71463,678.19
Year 5 PV (M)486,513.17510,091.35534,574.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,951,635.8815,676,245.8816,428,681.25
Equity Value (M)16,804,467.0817,588,331.5118,401,662.71
Shares Outstanding (M)71.8371.8371.83
Fair Value$233,937.17$244,849.45$256,171.94
Upside / Downside137.50%148.58%160.07%

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