Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yeong Hwa Metal Co., Ltd. (012280.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,240.57 - $19,614.81$10,024.34
Multi-Stage$6,225.89 - $6,832.03$6,523.26
Blended Fair Value$8,273.80
Current Price$859.00
Upside863.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.91%20.790.000.0015.160.000.0026.3326.3326.3344.99
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-41.47%136.91%
Dividend Yield--2.67%0.00%0.00%0.89%0.00%0.00%1.87%1.63%1.39%2.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,007.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,497.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,509.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,401.441,500.90900.54
Cash Retained (M)10,509.3110,509.3110,509.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,401.44-1,500.90-900.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,107.879,008.419,608.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.7149.7149.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share163.11181.23193.31
LTM Dividend per Share30.1330.1330.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share163.11181.23193.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend193.24211.36223.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.34%4.34%5.34%
Fair Value$6,240.57$10,024.34$19,614.81
Upside / Downside626.49%1,066.98%2,183.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,007.2012,528.0313,071.4513,638.4514,230.0414,847.2915,292.71
Payout Ratio12.47%27.98%43.48%58.99%74.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,497.893,505.335,684.118,045.3210,600.6713,362.5714,145.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.34%4.34%5.34%
Year 1 PV (M)3,258.703,290.233,321.76
Year 2 PV (M)4,912.385,007.915,104.37
Year 3 PV (M)6,463.786,653.266,846.40
Year 4 PV (M)7,917.568,228.518,548.54
Year 5 PV (M)9,278.189,735.8810,211.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)277,644.78291,341.17305,572.82
Equity Value (M)309,475.38324,256.96339,605.35
Shares Outstanding (M)49.7149.7149.71
Fair Value$6,225.89$6,523.26$6,832.03
Upside / Downside624.78%659.40%695.35%

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