Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sam Jung Pulp Co.,Ltd. (009770.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Paper, Lumber & Forest ProductsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80,792.83 - $132,563.63$103,854.67
Multi-Stage$163,916.67 - $180,532.36$172,061.90
Blended Fair Value$137,958.29
Current Price$29,400.00
Upside369.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1,000.031,000.031,000.031,000.030.000.001,000.031,650.051,250.041,000.03
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-39.39%32.00%25.00%0.01%
Dividend Yield--3.94%3.97%4.00%3.54%0.00%0.00%2.74%4.34%2.81%2.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18,106.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,499.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,606.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,621.292,263.311,357.99
Cash Retained (M)15,606.5015,606.5015,606.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,621.29-2,263.31-1,357.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,985.2013,343.1914,248.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.502.502.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,794.285,337.495,699.64
LTM Dividend per Share1,000.031,000.031,000.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,794.285,337.495,699.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,794.306,337.526,699.66
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-0.79%0.21%1.21%
Fair Value$80,792.83$103,854.67$132,563.63
Upside / Downside174.81%253.25%350.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18,106.4718,143.8818,181.3618,218.9318,256.5718,294.2918,843.12
Payout Ratio13.81%29.05%44.28%59.52%74.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,499.975,270.018,051.4810,844.4213,648.8716,464.8617,429.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-0.79%0.21%1.21%
Year 1 PV (M)4,907.214,956.675,006.13
Year 2 PV (M)6,981.077,122.517,265.38
Year 3 PV (M)8,755.399,022.839,295.66
Year 4 PV (M)10,260.9810,681.0011,113.79
Year 5 PV (M)11,525.8612,118.6012,735.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)367,344.53386,235.67405,896.13
Equity Value (M)409,775.04430,137.28451,312.57
Shares Outstanding (M)2.502.502.50
Fair Value$163,916.67$172,061.90$180,532.36
Upside / Downside457.54%485.24%514.06%

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