Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Risuntek Inc. (002981.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$171.11 - $201.59$188.92
Multi-Stage$116.70 - $128.08$122.28
Blended Fair Value$155.60
Current Price$31.05
Upside401.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.15%0.00%0.290.150.050.070.080.110.140.030.000.00
YoY Growth--89.84%183.98%-26.88%-9.40%-23.85%-23.24%326.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.29%0.66%0.26%0.47%0.42%0.60%0.78%0.18%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)136.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)99.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.2317.0210.21
Cash Retained (M)99.1899.1899.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.23-17.02-10.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)71.9582.1688.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)134.31134.31134.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.610.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.610.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.810.890.94
WACC / Discount Rate2.23%2.23%2.23%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$171.11$188.92$201.59
Upside / Downside451.06%508.44%549.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)136.15144.99154.42164.46175.15186.53192.13
Payout Ratio27.15%39.72%52.29%64.86%77.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.9757.6080.75106.67135.62167.88177.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.23%2.23%2.23%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)55.8156.3456.87
Year 2 PV (M)75.8277.2678.72
Year 3 PV (M)97.0599.84102.68
Year 4 PV (M)119.57124.17128.89
Year 5 PV (M)143.42150.35157.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,182.7715,916.1016,677.50
Equity Value (M)15,674.4416,424.0617,202.21
Shares Outstanding (M)134.31134.31134.31
Fair Value$116.70$122.28$128.08
Upside / Downside275.85%293.83%312.49%

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