Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen Sunnypol Optoelectronics Co.,Ltd. (002876.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.93 - $55.29$51.81
Multi-Stage$34.81 - $38.18$36.47
Blended Fair Value$44.14
Current Price$24.54
Upside79.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.55%14.37%0.220.330.490.330.250.240.300.130.090.03
YoY Growth---32.19%-33.58%48.52%34.76%2.58%-18.84%120.57%46.21%165.87%-40.52%
Dividend Yield--0.84%1.27%1.04%0.99%0.44%0.82%1.24%0.42%0.61%0.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.676.043.63
Cash Retained (M)1.841.841.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.67-6.04-3.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)-7.83-4.20-1.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)173.91173.91173.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.02-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.02-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.26
WACC / Discount Rate0.76%0.76%0.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$46.93$51.81$55.29
Upside / Downside91.22%111.13%125.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48.3551.4954.8458.4062.2066.2468.23
Payout Ratio96.20%94.96%93.72%92.48%91.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.5148.8951.3954.0156.7559.6163.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.76%0.76%0.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)48.0748.5248.98
Year 2 PV (M)49.6850.6251.58
Year 3 PV (M)51.3352.8054.30
Year 4 PV (M)53.0255.0657.16
Year 5 PV (M)54.7657.4160.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,797.456,077.476,368.21
Equity Value (M)6,054.316,341.896,640.38
Shares Outstanding (M)173.91173.91173.91
Fair Value$34.81$36.47$38.18
Upside / Downside41.86%48.60%55.60%

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