Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Zhejiang Jiemei Electronic And Technology Co., Ltd. (002859.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60.66 - $93.82$87.93
Multi-Stage$15.77 - $17.25$16.50
Blended Fair Value$52.21
Current Price$33.51
Upside55.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.69%24.89%0.440.190.300.270.140.230.170.110.090.05
YoY Growth--127.03%-35.12%10.55%95.19%-40.24%33.24%54.23%24.16%94.72%-2.20%
Dividend Yield--2.21%0.89%1.04%1.04%0.43%1.04%0.77%0.54%0.85%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)200.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)155.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)45.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.1925.1215.07
Cash Retained (M)45.1445.1445.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.19-25.12-15.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.9520.0230.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)425.91425.91425.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.050.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.050.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.410.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$60.66$87.93$93.82
Upside / Downside81.03%162.39%179.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)200.93213.99227.90242.72258.49275.30283.56
Payout Ratio77.54%80.03%82.52%85.01%87.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)155.80171.26188.07206.35226.20247.77262.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)159.81161.33162.84
Year 2 PV (M)163.77166.89170.04
Year 3 PV (M)167.67172.49177.39
Year 4 PV (M)171.52178.12184.90
Year 5 PV (M)175.32183.79192.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,879.966,163.976,458.84
Equity Value (M)6,718.067,026.587,346.60
Shares Outstanding (M)425.91425.91425.91
Fair Value$15.77$16.50$17.25
Upside / Downside-52.93%-50.77%-48.53%

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