Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Dianguang Explosion-proof Technology Co., Ltd. (002730.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.59 - $53.71$50.33
Multi-Stage$31.02 - $34.03$32.50
Blended Fair Value$41.41
Current Price$15.99
Upside159.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.33%10.70%0.160.130.130.080.110.090.090.020.070.10
YoY Growth--21.49%0.41%53.58%-24.61%21.05%6.80%276.12%-69.29%-22.51%69.13%
Dividend Yield--0.98%1.59%1.48%0.82%0.69%1.30%0.99%0.21%0.38%0.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)95.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.0711.927.15
Cash Retained (M)39.6939.6939.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.07-11.92-7.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.6227.7732.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)352.99352.99352.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.25
WACC / Discount Rate2.40%2.40%2.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45.59$50.33$53.71
Upside / Downside185.09%214.77%235.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)95.33101.52108.12115.15122.64130.61134.53
Payout Ratio58.37%64.69%71.02%77.35%83.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.6465.6876.7989.07102.61117.55124.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.40%2.40%2.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)63.5464.1464.74
Year 2 PV (M)71.8773.2374.62
Year 3 PV (M)80.6482.9585.31
Year 4 PV (M)89.8893.3396.89
Year 5 PV (M)99.60104.41109.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,543.7311,053.0011,581.76
Equity Value (M)10,949.2511,471.0712,012.72
Shares Outstanding (M)352.99352.99352.99
Fair Value$31.02$32.50$34.03
Upside / Downside93.99%103.23%112.83%

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