Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation Limited (002729.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.70 - $4.52$3.50
Multi-Stage$2.78 - $3.04$2.91
Blended Fair Value$3.20
Current Price$14.38
Upside-77.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.07%-12.07%0.030.010.020.010.020.020.040.040.040.07
YoY Growth--141.07%-33.62%40.00%-42.86%0.00%-30.00%0.00%0.00%-50.00%-38.33%
Dividend Yield--0.24%0.09%0.09%0.07%0.16%0.18%0.34%0.27%0.12%0.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.325.203.12
Cash Retained (M)35.7435.7435.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.32-5.20-3.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.4230.5432.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)187.90187.90187.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.160.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.160.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate3.07%4.07%5.07%
Fair Value$2.70$3.50$4.52
Upside / Downside-81.23%-75.67%-68.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.6043.2945.0546.8848.7850.7752.29
Payout Ratio14.08%29.27%44.45%59.63%74.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.8612.6720.0227.9536.5045.6948.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate3.07%4.07%5.07%
Year 1 PV (M)11.4211.5311.65
Year 2 PV (M)16.2816.6016.92
Year 3 PV (M)20.5021.1021.72
Year 4 PV (M)24.1325.0926.06
Year 5 PV (M)27.2528.5929.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)422.44443.34465.05
Equity Value (M)522.03546.25571.39
Shares Outstanding (M)187.90187.90187.90
Fair Value$2.78$2.91$3.04
Upside / Downside-80.68%-79.78%-78.85%

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