Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Wuchan Zhongda Geron Co.,Ltd. (002722.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.51 - $35.11$21.55
Multi-Stage$9.96 - $10.89$10.42
Blended Fair Value$15.99
Current Price$16.15
Upside-1.02%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.77%15.42%0.210.150.240.220.340.340.240.220.150.08
YoY Growth--43.06%-37.46%5.93%-33.93%0.93%41.95%6.48%53.09%71.09%67.63%
Dividend Yield--1.44%1.13%1.59%1.47%3.36%2.73%1.20%1.05%0.36%0.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)141.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)136.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.3817.7410.64
Cash Retained (M)136.55136.55136.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.38-17.74-10.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)108.17118.82125.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)211.65211.65211.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.560.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.560.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.62
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.51$21.55$35.11
Upside / Downside-10.13%33.46%117.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)141.89151.12160.94171.40182.54194.40200.24
Payout Ratio3.76%21.01%38.26%55.51%72.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.3431.7561.5795.14132.80174.96185.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28.7529.0229.30
Year 2 PV (M)50.4951.4552.42
Year 3 PV (M)70.6372.6674.73
Year 4 PV (M)89.2892.7296.25
Year 5 PV (M)106.51111.66117.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,762.251,847.371,935.75
Equity Value (M)2,107.922,204.882,305.44
Shares Outstanding (M)211.65211.65211.65
Fair Value$9.96$10.42$10.89
Upside / Downside-38.33%-35.50%-32.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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