Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Hunan Silver Co.,Ltd. (002716.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SilverSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.47 - $0.67$0.57
Multi-Stage$0.72 - $0.79$0.75
Blended Fair Value$0.66
Current Price$7.02
Upside-90.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-35.62%-15.65%0.010.010.010.010.010.090.120.100.070.06
YoY Growth---6.12%4.04%-22.96%69.56%-91.33%-21.60%16.38%44.27%18.83%5.40%
Dividend Yield--0.26%0.34%0.32%0.46%0.33%5.04%1.42%0.51%0.33%0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)204.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)149.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.9825.6115.37
Cash Retained (M)149.92149.92149.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.98-25.61-15.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)108.95124.31134.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,821.522,821.522,821.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.47$0.57$0.67
Upside / Downside-93.23%-91.84%-90.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)204.88202.83200.80198.79196.81194.84200.68
Payout Ratio26.82%39.46%52.09%64.73%77.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.9680.04104.61128.68152.26175.35185.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)72.0372.7773.50
Year 2 PV (M)84.7386.4788.23
Year 3 PV (M)93.8196.7199.67
Year 4 PV (M)99.90104.04108.31
Year 5 PV (M)103.55108.94114.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,568.891,650.591,735.65
Equity Value (M)2,022.922,119.522,219.92
Shares Outstanding (M)2,821.522,821.522,821.52
Fair Value$0.72$0.75$0.79
Upside / Downside-89.79%-89.30%-88.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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