Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Era Co., Ltd. (002641.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.83 - $1.35$1.06
Multi-Stage$0.86 - $0.94$0.90
Blended Fair Value$0.98
Current Price$4.25
Upside-76.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.95%4.78%0.100.010.070.130.130.040.040.050.050.06
YoY Growth--614.40%-80.82%-42.03%0.14%239.13%-10.66%-10.14%-11.35%-11.05%-6.58%
Dividend Yield--2.31%0.26%1.55%2.51%1.82%0.68%1.04%1.15%1.06%1.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)85.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.5911.006.60
Cash Retained (M)85.3485.3485.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.59-11.00-6.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)67.7474.3478.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,217.341,217.341,217.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate2.78%3.78%4.78%
Fair Value$0.83$1.06$1.35
Upside / Downside-80.55%-75.05%-68.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.9791.3094.7598.33102.04105.90109.08
Payout Ratio2.99%20.39%37.80%55.20%72.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.6318.6235.8154.2774.0895.31100.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate2.78%3.78%4.78%
Year 1 PV (M)16.7716.9317.09
Year 2 PV (M)29.0429.6130.18
Year 3 PV (M)39.6440.8142.00
Year 4 PV (M)48.7350.6652.64
Year 5 PV (M)56.4659.2662.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)857.71900.25944.47
Equity Value (M)1,048.361,097.531,148.57
Shares Outstanding (M)1,217.341,217.341,217.34
Fair Value$0.86$0.90$0.94
Upside / Downside-79.74%-78.79%-77.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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