Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen INVT Electric Co.,Ltd (002334.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.04 - $68.41$64.10
Multi-Stage$36.03 - $39.61$37.78
Blended Fair Value$50.94
Current Price$9.60
Upside430.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.13%5.43%0.070.080.010.010.010.070.200.050.050.07
YoY Growth---3.41%717.19%-33.06%24.09%-84.65%-63.78%296.34%13.37%-34.61%58.34%
Dividend Yield--0.87%0.93%0.08%0.23%0.22%1.66%3.11%0.57%0.54%0.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)281.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)224.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)56.3435.2121.13
Cash Retained (M)224.86224.86224.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-56.34-35.21-21.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)168.52189.65203.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)803.08803.08803.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.240.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.310.32
WACC / Discount Rate2.53%2.53%2.53%
Growth Rate3.43%4.43%5.43%
Fair Value$58.04$64.10$68.41
Upside / Downside504.60%567.68%612.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)281.68294.14307.16320.76334.96349.78360.28
Payout Ratio20.17%34.14%48.10%62.07%76.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56.82100.42147.76199.09254.68314.80333.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.53%2.53%2.53%
Growth Rate3.43%4.43%5.43%
Year 1 PV (M)97.0097.9498.88
Year 2 PV (M)137.88140.56143.26
Year 3 PV (M)179.46184.72190.07
Year 4 PV (M)221.76230.46239.42
Year 5 PV (M)264.79277.84291.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,030.8529,412.4230,847.94
Equity Value (M)28,931.7430,343.9431,810.97
Shares Outstanding (M)803.08803.08803.08
Fair Value$36.03$37.78$39.61
Upside / Downside275.27%293.59%312.62%

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