Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Bosun Co., Ltd. (002282.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.05 - $68.65$64.34
Multi-Stage$10.71 - $11.72$11.20
Blended Fair Value$37.77
Current Price$7.00
Upside439.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.30%15.97%0.150.040.160.090.070.050.100.030.030.05
YoY Growth--309.02%-76.29%71.44%40.60%32.12%-50.43%295.58%-10.79%-44.14%45.83%
Dividend Yield--2.01%0.57%2.03%1.10%0.65%0.72%0.89%0.20%0.21%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)182.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)105.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)77.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.5322.8313.70
Cash Retained (M)77.2677.2677.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.53-22.83-13.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)40.7454.4463.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)529.06529.06529.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$34.05$64.34$68.65
Upside / Downside386.43%819.09%880.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)182.63194.50207.15220.61234.95250.22257.73
Payout Ratio57.69%64.16%70.62%77.08%83.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)105.37124.78146.28170.04196.27225.20238.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)116.23117.33118.43
Year 2 PV (M)126.90129.32131.76
Year 3 PV (M)137.40141.34145.36
Year 4 PV (M)147.72153.40159.24
Year 5 PV (M)157.86165.49173.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,980.135,220.675,470.42
Equity Value (M)5,666.235,927.546,198.61
Shares Outstanding (M)529.06529.06529.06
Fair Value$10.71$11.20$11.72
Upside / Downside53.00%60.06%67.37%

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