Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Korea Industrial Co., Ltd. (002140.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,296.53 - $51,027.44$19,787.41
Multi-Stage$11,584.46 - $12,721.90$12,142.43
Blended Fair Value$15,964.92
Current Price$2,610.00
Upside511.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.58%0.22%24.9624.9639.9434.9529.9629.9634.9529.3129.7443.54
YoY Growth--0.00%-37.50%14.29%16.67%0.00%-14.29%19.24%-1.44%-31.70%78.25%
Dividend Yield--0.96%0.79%1.10%0.96%0.70%1.49%1.57%0.85%0.41%2.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,147.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)740.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,407.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,829.531,143.46686.07
Cash Retained (M)8,407.518,407.518,407.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,829.53-1,143.46-686.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,577.987,264.057,721.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.7124.7124.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share266.23293.99312.50
LTM Dividend per Share29.9629.9629.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share266.23293.99312.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend296.18323.95342.46
WACC / Discount Rate5.92%5.92%5.92%
Growth Rate3.21%4.21%5.21%
Fair Value$11,296.53$19,787.41$51,027.44
Upside / Downside332.82%658.14%1,855.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,147.659,533.019,934.6110,353.1210,789.2711,243.7911,581.10
Payout Ratio8.09%24.47%40.85%57.24%73.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)740.142,333.004,058.755,925.767,942.8710,119.4110,712.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.92%5.92%5.92%
Growth Rate3.21%4.21%5.21%
Year 1 PV (M)2,181.492,202.632,223.77
Year 2 PV (M)3,548.713,617.813,687.58
Year 3 PV (M)4,844.654,986.835,131.77
Year 4 PV (M)6,072.046,310.816,556.55
Year 5 PV (M)7,233.567,590.847,962.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)262,351.02275,308.93288,773.87
Equity Value (M)286,231.48300,017.85314,335.62
Shares Outstanding (M)24.7124.7124.71
Fair Value$11,584.46$12,142.43$12,721.90
Upside / Downside343.85%365.23%387.43%

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