Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shin Hwa Dynamics Co., Ltd. (001770.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55,823.42 - $102,462.17$75,084.84
Multi-Stage$74,475.90 - $81,830.64$78,083.12
Blended Fair Value$76,583.98
Current Price$18,710.00
Upside309.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-3.97%99.9199.9199.9199.9199.9199.9199.91249.78349.69199.82
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-60.00%-28.57%75.00%33.33%
Dividend Yield--0.67%0.52%0.30%0.32%0.42%0.62%0.44%1.14%1.34%1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,667.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)121.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,545.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)933.42583.38350.03
Cash Retained (M)4,545.594,545.594,545.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-933.42-583.38-350.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,612.173,962.204,195.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.221.221.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,970.633,258.503,450.41
LTM Dividend per Share99.9199.9199.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,970.633,258.503,450.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,070.543,358.413,550.32
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate1.66%2.66%3.66%
Fair Value$55,823.42$75,084.84$102,462.17
Upside / Downside198.36%301.31%447.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,667.084,791.354,918.935,049.915,184.375,322.425,482.09
Payout Ratio2.60%20.08%37.56%55.04%72.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)121.49962.221,847.642,779.533,759.744,790.185,070.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate1.66%2.66%3.66%
Year 1 PV (M)888.40897.14905.88
Year 2 PV (M)1,575.011,606.151,637.59
Year 3 PV (M)2,187.612,252.802,319.28
Year 4 PV (M)2,732.052,841.142,953.47
Year 5 PV (M)3,213.783,374.983,542.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)79,962.9083,973.7988,144.03
Equity Value (M)90,559.7594,946.0099,502.83
Shares Outstanding (M)1.221.221.22
Fair Value$74,475.90$78,083.12$81,830.64
Upside / Downside298.05%317.33%337.36%

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